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ChatGPT Turns 3: Review of a Revolution, and an Uncertain Future

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Three years ago, on November 30, 2022, the world discovered ChatGPT, the prototype based on OpenAI’s GPT-3.5 model.

An anniversary that marks not just a simple application, but the fastest technological explosion in history, signaling the true beginning of the Generative Artificial Intelligence era. The Yiaho team looks back on this symbolic date, not with a cake and three candles, but with a quick debrief!

A Stunning Record: AI at the Heart of Our Lives

In just 36 months, ChatGPT has gone from a geek curiosity to an essential tool integrated into education, programming, marketing, artistic creation, and even medicine. The media and economic landscape has been transformed by the ability of these language models to simulate human conversation and production.

The sense of a turning point is perfectly captured by one of the sector’s most influential observers, Dr. Laurent Alexandre, who, in a tweet, summarized the magnitude of the event:

Three years ago to the day, ChatGPT was born. GPT 3.5 was made public on November 30, 2022. It was the beginning of the greatest revolution in history: machines surpassing human intelligence in just a few years. Despite politicians’ denial…” – Dr. Laurent Alexandre.

While hyperbole may be at play, the foundation remains: AI is no longer a distant future, but a daily reality whose exponential evolution defies the laws of prediction. Productivity gains are undeniable, but ethical questions, the risk of disinformation, and the impact on employment have only grown.

Also read on this topic: AI Could Already Replace 1 in 8 Jobs in the United States, According to an MIT Study

The Future of AI: A Cataclysmic Scenario in 2026? 2028?

While the industry celebrates OpenAI’s resounding success, attention inevitably turns to the race for AGI (Artificial General Intelligence). What if the tide turned dramatically?

The Inevitable Rise of Gemini

Analysts agree that competition is fiercer than ever. Beyond current technical performance, the future could be dominated by the challenger with the best integration of global data and the ability to “reason” in a multimodal way.

In a plausible scenario by 2028, Google’s model, Gemini, could achieve such supremacy that it would eclipse all its competitors. With unmatched access to information and an inherently more powerful architecture, Gemini 8.0 or a later version could become the de facto sole “cognitive operating system” of the planet.

Also read about Gemini: Will Gemini 3.0 Pro Eclipse GPT-5.1 in the Frantic AI Race?

OpenAI’s “Black Swan”: A Global Crisis?

This absolute dominance could coincide with the unthinkable: the collapse of OpenAI. Faced with overwhelming competition, unresolved internal governance issues, or an inability to maintain its technological lead, the firm that lit the fuse could crumble.

Such an event would have more than just stock market consequences. Given the deep integration of its technologies (via GPT-4o, etc.) into thousands of companies, critical systems, and financial infrastructures, OpenAI’s failure could trigger a global systemic shock:

  • Economic paralysis: Abrupt shutdown of automated services, collapse of technology markets.
  • Digital chaos: Failure of AI agents managing logistics, transactions, and security.

In this forward-looking scenario, the pioneer’s fall would trigger an unprecedented technological recession, forcing governments to emergency nationalize remaining AI infrastructures to stabilize the global system.

Let’s Praise Technological Humility!

Whether it’s the era of denial mentioned by Laurent Alexandre or the global crisis scenario, one thing is clear after three years: AI is a force that humanity has unleashed without mastering its control. At Yiaho, we don’t yet know the future of AI. Will we lose or create jobs? Will Europe emerge stronger or weaker?

ChatGPT was the first spark. The challenge of the next three years will not only be the race for the most powerful chip, but the collective ability to establish global governance equal to this technology. The review of its three years is only the introduction to the most complex chapter in human history.

Source: X Account @dr_l_alexandre

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